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Bawler / USA: MLS / Inter Miami
Inter Miami crest

Inter Miami

USA: MLS

Inter Miami operate as a clinical attacking unit with a marginal defensive vulnerability, averaging 1.60 xG created against 1.49 conceded per match. Their recent record reflects this profile—four wins in the last five settled fixtures—though they remain reliant on conversion efficiency to mask structural defensive weaknesses. With no immediate fixtures in the current window, focus shifts to Bawler's exceptional 88% banker accuracy on Miami matches, a track record suggesting the model has identified genuine exploitable edges in their underlying performance.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.62+0.17 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.47+0.04 vs league
◇ = USA: MLS average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Inter Miami were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the USA: MLS average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Inter Miami are above average there.

> xG performance · last 9 matches
0123456vs Nashville: actual 1, xG 0.94@ New York City: actual 3, xG 0.88vs Austin: actual 2, xG 1.49@ Colorado Rapids: actual 3, xG 1.23vs Orlando City: actual 3, xG 3.69@ Toronto: actual 4, xG 0.95@ Cincinnati: actual 5, xG 1.57vs Portland Timbers: actual 2, xG 2.06vs Philadelphia Union: actual 6, xG 1.75Nashvi@New YoAustin@ColoraOrland@Toront@CincinPortlaPhilad
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate +14.4 goals vs xG (+1.60/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Inter Miami actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.62 xG per match · +0.17 above the USA: MLS average of 1.45.
Bawler's edge: Goals (Over/Under)
Banker picks in this market land 100% of the time on Inter Miami fixtures (5/5).
On a 4-match winning run
Form line shows consecutive wins in their most recent settled fixtures. Momentum factor worth weighting.
> Form · last 5
Overall: 6W / 2D / 1L · Avg goals 3.2 for, 2.2 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Inter Miami's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
9
9 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.62
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.47
per match
Banker Hit Rate
89%
8/9 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on Inter Miami matches
89%
hit rate over 9 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Inter Miami fixture, the model lands 8 out of 9 (89%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Bawler's record on Inter Miami by market
Goals (Over/Under)100%5/5
Result75%3/4

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Inter Miami fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Inter Miami matches.

> Recent matches (last 9)

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