Istanbul Basaksehir v
Kocaelispor
Istanbul Basaksehir's 0.76 expected-goals advantage underpins the 1X forecast at 76%, reflecting their superior shot quality and the 52% win probability that makes a home result or draw the likeliest outcomes.
KocaelisporModel probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Basaksehir average 4.4 corners per game at home this season (17 competitive matches). Kocaelispor average 3.8 corners per game away from home this season (17 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor — Head-to-Head
In 1 recorded meeting since 6 April 2026, Basaksehir have won 0, Kocaelispor have won 0, with 1 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 6 April 2026 | Kocaelispor 0–0 Basaksehir | TURKEY: Super Lig |
The model's verdict for this fixture: Basaksehir 52% · draw 30% · Kocaelispor 18%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.