How it finished
Japan beat Venezuela 2–1. Bawler's model had Japan in front at 80% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Japan had 12 shots (4 on target) to Venezuela's 9 (5), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Japan vs Venezuela?
Japan beat Venezuela 2–1. Bawler's model had Japan in front at 80% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Japan had 12 shots (4 on target) to Venezuela's 9 (5), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Japan vs Venezuela?
Japan 2–1 Venezuela, played on 28 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Japan 80%, the draw 14% and Venezuela 6%.
What were the stats in Japan vs Venezuela?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 2.5–1.4, Shots 12–9, Shots on target 4–5, Shots inside box 10–7, Big chances 3–4, Corners 1–7, Saves 3–2, Fouls 14–15, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–3.
Did both teams score in Japan vs Venezuela?
Yes — both Japan and Venezuela scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 44% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Japan vs Venezuela right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Japan to win 80%, it finished Japan won (80% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 44%, it finished Yes.