Belgium: Pro LeagueSaturday 22 Aug, 18:45 UTC

KAA Gent vOH Leuven

Most likely scoreline
1–0
14% of the time · 2.52 goals expected
KAA Gent 60%Draw 28%OH Leuven 13%
How we get there
KAA GentstepOH Leuven
1.79Base xG · rolling 26-match0.73
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.79Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.73

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

KAA Gent average 5.8 corners per game at home this season (4 competitive matches). Leuven average 4.3 corners per game away from home this season (21 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
6
2
1
1
14
11
4
1
2
13
9
3
1
3
8
6
2
4
3
3
1
5
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

KAA Gent fixtures & form →OH Leuven fixtures & form →

KAA Gent vs Leuven — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between KAA Gent and Leuven — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: KAA Gent 60% · draw 28% · Leuven 13%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

KAA Gent predictions & form →Leuven predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.