Bawler / Belgium: Pro League / KAA Gent
Team profile

KAA Gent Prediction

Per-game numbers from 8 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
11.7
a game
12.1 faced
On target
3.7
a game
4.9 faced
Goals
1.0 – 1.1
scored – conceded
a game, 8 matches
Next match
60%
KAA Gent win chance
vs Leuven · Sat 22 Aug 18:45

KAA Gent prediction: for KAA Gent's next match — KAA Gent vs Leuven on Saturday 22 Aug, 18:45 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a KAA Gent win looks most likely (60%).

KAA Gent sit close to the Pro League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.62 expected goals a game and conceding 1.85. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.00 goals a game against 1.62 expected. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. Next up is OH Leuven, where the model makes them clear favourites at 60%.

KAA Gent in numbers

8 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.0
Goals · per game
let in 1.1
Home 1.0Away 1.0
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 3.4
Home 5.8Away 4.7
11.7
Shots · per game
faced 12.1
Home 12.3Away 11.0
3.7
On target · per game
faced 4.9
Home 4.0Away 3.3
Last 6 games
16 Aug
2-1
@ RAAL La Louvière
3-6
13 Aug
1-1
vs IFK Göteborg
7-3
09 Aug
2-0
vs KV Mechelen
4-1
06 Aug
1-0
@ IFK Göteborg
3-2
31 May
1-1
vs Racing Genk
-
24 May
0-5
@ Club Brugge
8-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Leuven · Saturday 22 Aug, 18:45 UTC

Win
60%
KAA Gent
Draw
28%
Loss
13%
Leuven
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How KAA Gent compare with the Belgium: Pro League average, per match.

Goals for
1.62
Above average
Goals against
1.85
Leakier than most
Record
3W 4D 1L
8 settled
Real goals
1.0 – 1.1
For / against, per match
Scored1.62
Conceded1.85

The grey line on each bar is the Belgium: Pro League average (1.57 scored, 1.64 conceded).

What the data says
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.85 xG per match · +0.20 vs league average of 1.64.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on KAA Gent fixtures (5/5).

How Bawler has done on KAA Gent

88%
of high-confidence calls correct — 7 of 8, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)100%5/5
Result67%2/3

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 8)

Sun 16 Aug@ RAAL La Louvière
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 13 Augvs IFK Göteborg
High confidence: KAA Gent or Draw
Sun 09 Augvs KV Mechelen
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 06 Aug@ IFK Göteborg
High confidence: IFK Göteborg or Draw
Sun 31 Mayvs Racing Genk
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 24 May@ Club Brugge
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 21 Mayvs Union St.-Gilloise
High confidence: X2
Sun 10 Mayvs Anderlecht
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

More on KAA Gent and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly