SCOTLAND: PremiershipSunday 09 Aug, 12:30 UTC

Kilmarnock vCeltic

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Kilmarnock 40%Draw 29%Celtic 30%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
78%
How we get there
KilmarnockstepCeltic
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Kilmarnock or draw
51%
Over 3.5 goals
26%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Kilmarnock average 5.2 corners per game at home this season (21 competitive matches). Celtic average 5.3 corners per game away from home this season (26 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Kilmarnock fixtures & form →Celtic fixtures & form →

Kilmarnock vs Celtic — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Kilmarnock and Celtic — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Kilmarnock 40% · draw 29% · Celtic 30%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Kilmarnock predictions & form →Celtic predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.