Bawler / SCOTLAND: Premiership / Kilmarnock
Team profile

Kilmarnock Prediction

Per-game numbers from 41 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
11.2
a game
14.6 faced
On target
4.2
a game
5.5 faced
Goals
1.4 – 1.9
scored – conceded
a game, 41 matches
Next match
13%
Kilmarnock win chance
at Hibernian · Sat 22 Aug 14:00

Kilmarnock prediction: for Kilmarnock's next match — Hibernian vs Kilmarnock on Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Hibernian are favoured (63%).

Kilmarnock carry a strong attacking profile, creating 1.65 expected goals per game against a Premiership average of 1.34. Next up is a trip to Hibernian, where the model has them as underdogs at 13%.

Kilmarnock in numbers

41 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.4
Goals · per game
let in 1.9
Home 1.5Away 1.3
4.5
Corners · per game
give up 5.3
Home 5.2Away 3.8
11.2
Shots · per game
faced 14.6
Home 13.2Away 9.2
4.2
On target · per game
faced 5.5
Home 4.7Away 3.5
Last 6 games
14 Aug
3-2
vs Ayr
13-2
09 Aug
1-5
vs Celtic
5-7
02 Aug
3-4
@ St Johnstone
3-6
17 May
4-1
@ Livingston
1-6
12 May
3-1
vs Dundee
6-2
09 May
3-0
@ St. Mirren
4-1

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Hibernian · Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win
13%
Kilmarnock
Draw
24%
Loss
63%
Hibernian
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Kilmarnock compare with the SCOTLAND: Premiership average, per match.

Goals for
1.65
Above average
Goals against
1.33
Tighter than most
Scored1.65
Conceded1.33

The grey line on each bar is the SCOTLAND: Premiership average (1.34 scored, 1.40 conceded).

Recent matches (last 2)

Transfer activity

INErik RingLWfrom Lincoln CityUndisclosed
INMark O'HaraCMfrom St. MirrenUndisclosed
INKieran WrightGKfrom RangersLoan
INJohnly YfekoCBfrom Exeter CityUndisclosed
INRoshaun MathurinRWfrom TrencinFree transfer
INJonathan MeierRBfrom UlmFree transfer
INCalum FerrieGKfrom Queens ParkUndisclosed
INBailey RiceCMfrom RangersLoan
OUTDavid WatsonCMto Bolton WanderersFree transfer
OUTBen BrannanRBto Queens ParkLoan
OUTDominic ThompsonLBto SK BeverenUndisclosed
OUTLewis MayoCBto AberdeenFree transfer
OUTBruce AndersonSTto LivingstonFree transfer
OUTBrad LyonsCMto AberdeenFree transfer
OUTLiam PolworthCMto LivingstonFree transfer
OUTEddie BeachGKto Derry CityLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Kilmarnock and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly