BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro LeagueSaturday 08 Aug, 18:45 UTC

KVC Westerlo vUnion St.-Gilloise

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
KVC Westerlo 36%Draw 31%Union St.-Gilloise 33%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
75%
How we get there
KVC WesterlostepUnion St.-Gilloise
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
Union St.-Gilloise to win
25%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

KVC Westerlo average 4.5 corners per game at home this season (2 competitive matches). Union St.-Gilloise average 5.3 corners per game away from home this season (4 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

KVC Westerlo vs Union St.-Gilloise — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between KVC Westerlo and Union St.-Gilloise — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: KVC Westerlo 36% · draw 31% · Union St.-Gilloise 33%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
KVC Westerlo 15 Union St.-Gilloise
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.