Bawler / Belgium: Pro League / KVC Westerlo
Team profile

KVC Westerlo Prediction

Per-game numbers from 5 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
14.2
a game
17.2 faced
On target
3.0
a game
6.8 faced
Goals
0.8 – 3.0
scored – conceded
a game, 5 matches
Next match
19%
KVC Westerlo win chance
at Lommel SK · Sun 23 Aug 14:00

KVC Westerlo prediction: for KVC Westerlo's next match — Lommel SK vs KVC Westerlo on Sunday 23 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Lommel SK are favoured (51%).

KVC Westerlo carry a strong attacking profile, creating 1.91 expected goals per game against a Pro League average of 1.57. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.80 goals a game against 1.91 expected. Recent form is poor — 5 defeats in a row. Next up is a trip to Lommel SK, where the model has them as underdogs at 19%.

KVC Westerlo in numbers

5 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.8
Goals · per game
let in 3.0
Home 1.0Away 0.7
4.4
Corners · per game
give up 5.2
Home 4.5Away 4.3
14.2
Shots · per game
faced 17.2
Home 18.0Away 11.7
3.0
On target · per game
faced 6.8
Home 3.5Away 2.7
Last 5 games
15 Aug
2-3
@ Racing Genk
4-8
08 Aug
1-5
vs Union St.-Gilloise
4-5
23 May
0-2
@ Antwerp
6-6
19 May
1-2
vs Standard Liege
5-1
10 May
0-3
@ Racing Genk
3-6

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Lommel SK · Sunday 23 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win
19%
KVC Westerlo
Draw
29%
Loss
51%
Lommel SK
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How KVC Westerlo compare with the Belgium: Pro League average, per match.

Goals for
1.91
Above average
Goals against
1.85
Leakier than most
Record
0W 0D 5L
5 settled
Real goals
0.8 – 3.0
For / against, per match
Scored1.91
Conceded1.85

The grey line on each bar is the Belgium: Pro League average (1.57 scored, 1.64 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.91 xG per match · +0.34 above the Belgium: Pro League average of 1.57.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.85 xG per match · +0.21 vs league average of 1.64.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on KVC Westerlo fixtures (4/4).
5-match losing run
Form line shows consecutive losses in their most recent settled fixtures. Confidence is low going into the next match.

How Bawler has done on KVC Westerlo

100%
of high-confidence calls correct — 5 of 5, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)100%4/4

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Sat 15 Aug@ Racing Genk
High confidence: Home Win
Sat 08 Augvs Union St.-Gilloise
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 23 May@ Antwerp
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Tue 19 Mayvs Standard Liege
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 10 May@ Racing Genk
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

More on KVC Westerlo and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly