Kyrgyz Republic vs Maldives prediction — International friendlies · Sun 27 Sept · 23:00 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Sun 27 Sept · 23:00 UK · Neutral venue
Kyrgyz Republic 58Draw 23Maldives 19
Our call before kickoff
81%
Kyrgyz Republic or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 5–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
74%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
58%

How it finished

Kyrgyz Republic beat Maldives 5–0. Bawler's model had Kyrgyz Republic in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callKyrgyz Republic or draw 81%Kyrgyz Republic won (58% called)
Total goals3.05
Both teams to score56%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Kyrgyz RepublicMaldives
2.0
Goals+0.9
1.1
Kyrgyz RepublicMaldives
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
Kyrgyz RepublicMaldives
1.4
Goals+0.7
0.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Kyrgyz Republic to score86%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Maldives to score65%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Kyrgyz Republic
58%
to score before half-time
Maldives
37%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.9 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Kyrgyz Republic vs Maldives?

Kyrgyz Republic beat Maldives 5–0. Bawler's model had Kyrgyz Republic in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5.

What was the final score in Kyrgyz Republic vs Maldives?

Kyrgyz Republic 5–0 Maldives, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Kyrgyz Republic 58%, the draw 23% and Maldives 19%.

Did both teams score in Kyrgyz Republic vs Maldives?

No. It finished 5–0, so Maldives failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Kyrgyz Republic vs Maldives right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Kyrgyz Republic or draw 81%, it finished Kyrgyz Republic won (58% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Kyrgyz Republic
Next up
4 OctHLebanon3–1 W
All fixtures & results →Kyrgyz Republic form →Maldives form →