FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 06 September 2026
LA Galaxy 2–1 New England RevolutionMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 06 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was LA Galaxy or draw at 68%. Bawler had LA Galaxy at 42%, the draw at 26% and New England Revolution at 32%. The match finished 2–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
LA Galaxy win
42%
Result
Draw
26%
New England Revolution win
32%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.4
Total 3.0
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (−0.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 2.3
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.0 of our 3.0.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 80%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.
What we said pre-match
"Over 1.5 Goals projects at 80% as Galaxy's creator Puig and Revolution scorers Kane and Saka combine for 3.02 total xG in a fixture separated by just 0.22 xG."