LA Galaxy beat New England Revolution 2–1. Bawler's model had LA Galaxy in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. LA Galaxy had 8 shots (3 on target) to New England Revolution's 24 (7), with 48% of the ball against 52%. On expected goals it was 1.4 to 2.3, so New England Revolution created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
LA Galaxy beat New England Revolution 2–1. Bawler's model had LA Galaxy in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. LA Galaxy had 8 shots (3 on target) to New England Revolution's 24 (7), with 48% of the ball against 52%. On expected goals it was 1.4 to 2.3, so New England Revolution created the better chances and still lost the game.
LA Galaxy 2–1 New England Revolution, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with LA Galaxy 42%, the draw 26% and New England Revolution 32%.
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–2.3, Shots 8–24, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 7–19, Big chances 1–1, Corners 5–3, Saves 6–1, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 2–3.
Yes — both LA Galaxy and New England Revolution scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said LA Galaxy or draw 68%, it finished LA Galaxy won (42% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.