Latvia and Cyprus drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Cyprus at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Latvia had 8 shots (0 on target) to Cyprus' 18 (5), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Latvia and Cyprus drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Cyprus at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Latvia had 8 shots (0 on target) to Cyprus' 18 (5), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.1.
Latvia 0–0 Cyprus, played on 28 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Latvia 32%, the draw 25% and Cyprus 43%.
Full-time: Possession 33%–67%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.1, Shots 8–18, Shots on target 0–5, Shots inside box 6–11, Big chances 0–2, Corners 4–11, Saves 5–0, Fouls 16–12, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–4.
No. It finished 0–0, so Latvia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Cyprus or draw 68%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Missed.