How it finished
Torreense beat Lillestrom 2–1. Bawler's model had Torreense in front at 52% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Lillestrom had 24 shots (6 on target) to Torreense's 11 (3), with 67% of the ball against 33%. On expected goals it was 2.7 to 1.5, so Lillestrom created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Lillestrom vs Torreense?
Torreense beat Lillestrom 2–1. Bawler's model had Torreense in front at 52% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Lillestrom had 24 shots (6 on target) to Torreense's 11 (3), with 67% of the ball against 33%. On expected goals it was 2.7 to 1.5, so Lillestrom created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Lillestrom vs Torreense?
Lillestrom 1–2 Torreense, played on 17 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lillestrom 23%, the draw 25% and Torreense 52%.
What were the stats in Lillestrom vs Torreense?
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–1.5, Shots 24–11, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 11–7, Big chances 2–3, Corners 11–2, Saves 1–4, Fouls 14–14, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–5, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Lillestrom vs Torreense?
Yes — both Lillestrom and Torreense scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Lillestrom vs Torreense right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Torreense or draw 77%, it finished Torreense won (52% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes.