How it finished
Lebanon beat Maldives 6–0. Bawler's model had Lebanon in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Maldives had 2 shots (1 on target) to Lebanon's 14 (10), with 25% of the ball against 75%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Maldives vs Lebanon?
Lebanon beat Maldives 6–0. Bawler's model had Lebanon in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Maldives had 2 shots (1 on target) to Lebanon's 14 (10), with 25% of the ball against 75%.
What was the final score in Maldives vs Lebanon?
Maldives 0–6 Lebanon, played on 01 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Maldives 7%, the draw 17% and Lebanon 75%.
What were the stats in Maldives vs Lebanon?
Full-time: Possession 25%–75%, Shots 2–14, Shots on target 1–10, Corners 2–3, Fouls 5–14, Offsides 0–4, Yellow cards 0–1, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Maldives vs Lebanon?
No. It finished 0–6, so Maldives failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 39% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Maldives vs Lebanon right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lebanon to win 75%, it finished Lebanon won (75% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 39%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.