How it finished
Sri Lanka beat Mauritius 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Mauritius at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sri Lanka 18%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Mauritius vs Sri Lanka?
Sri Lanka beat Mauritius 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Mauritius at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sri Lanka 18%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 5.
What was the final score in Mauritius vs Sri Lanka?
Mauritius 2–3 Sri Lanka, played on 05 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Mauritius 57%, the draw 25% and Sri Lanka 18%.
Did both teams score in Mauritius vs Sri Lanka?
Yes — both Mauritius and Sri Lanka scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Mauritius vs Sri Lanka right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Mauritius or draw 82%, it finished Sri Lanka won (18% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished Yes.