FT · ENGLAND: Championship · Wednesday, 02 September 2026
Millwall 0–3 WrexhamMatch recap & how our call landed · Wednesday, 02 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Millwall or draw at 75%. Bawler had Millwall at 49%, the draw at 26% and Wrexham at 25%. The match finished 0–3.
Pre-match probability vs result
Millwall win
49%
Draw
26%
Wrexham win
25%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.1
Total 2.8
Actual
0 – 3
Total 3 (+0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.2 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 2.8.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 77%
Landed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 53%
Landed
Outside shot
Wrexham to win
Pre-match: 25%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.