Millwall vs Wrexham prediction — Championship · Wed 2 Sept · 19:45 UK

Championship · Wed 2 Sept · 19:45 UK
Millwall 49Draw 26Wrexham 25
Our call before kickoff
75%
Millwall or draw
Missed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
55%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
53%

How it finished

Wrexham beat Millwall 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Millwall at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Wrexham 25%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Millwall had 4 shots (0 on target) to Wrexham's 9 (3), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 0.9.

MillwallFull-time statsWrexham
39%Possession61%
0.2Expected goals (xG)0.9
4Shots9
0Shots on target3
1Shots inside box8
0Big chances2
1Corners2
1Saves0
11Fouls14
0Offsides1
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callMillwall or draw 75%Wrexham won (25% called)
Total goals2.83
Both teams to score55%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 77%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

MillwallWrexham
1.7
Goals+0.5
1.1
15.0
Shots+4.8
10.2
4.8
On target+1.3
3.5
6.4
Corners+1.9
4.5
MillwallWrexham
0.5
Goals+0.2
0.4
6.9
Shots+2.4
4.5
2.3
On target+0.9
1.4
3.0
Corners+0.9
2.1
MillwallWrexham
1.1
Goals+0.4
0.8
8.1
Shots+2.4
5.7
2.5
On target+0.4
2.1
3.4
Corners+1.0
2.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Millwall to score81%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals69%
Wrexham to score68%

First half — what we expected

Millwall
55%
to score before half-time
Wrexham
37%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

MillwallWrexham
6.91st-half shots4.5
2.31st-half shots on target1.4
3.01st-half corners2.1

First-half chances

63%Chance of 6+ shots32%
39%Chance of 8+ shots13%
86%Chance of 1+ shots on target71%
39%Chance of 3+ shots on target19%
75%Chance of 2+ corners58%
35%Chance of 4+ corners19%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Millwall6.98.1
Shots · Wrexham4.55.7
Shots on target · Millwall2.32.5
Shots on target · Wrexham1.42.1
Corners · Millwall3.03.4
Corners · Wrexham2.12.4
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 2Millwall 1 · Draws 0 · Wrexham 1
Wrexham in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Feb 2026Wrexham 0–2 Millwall
Aug 2025Millwall 0–2 Wrexham
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Millwall vs Wrexham?

Wrexham beat Millwall 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Millwall at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Wrexham 25%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Millwall had 4 shots (0 on target) to Wrexham's 9 (3), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 0.9.

What was the final score in Millwall vs Wrexham?

Millwall 0–3 Wrexham, played on 02 Sept 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Millwall 49%, the draw 26% and Wrexham 25%.

What were the stats in Millwall vs Wrexham?

Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–0.9, Shots 4–9, Shots on target 0–3, Shots inside box 1–8, Big chances 0–2, Corners 1–2, Saves 1–0, Fouls 11–14, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Millwall vs Wrexham?

No. It finished 0–3, so Millwall failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Millwall vs Wrexham right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Millwall or draw 75%, it finished Wrexham won (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Millwall form →Wrexham form →