How it finished
Slovakia beat Moldova 4–0. Bawler's model had Slovakia in front at 77% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Moldova had 17 shots (5 on target) to Slovakia's 14 (6), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Moldova vs Slovakia?
Slovakia beat Moldova 4–0. Bawler's model had Slovakia in front at 77% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Moldova had 17 shots (5 on target) to Slovakia's 14 (6), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.6.
What was the final score in Moldova vs Slovakia?
Moldova 0–4 Slovakia, played on 06 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Moldova 7%, the draw 15% and Slovakia 77%.
What were the stats in Moldova vs Slovakia?
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.6, Shots 17–14, Shots on target 5–6, Shots inside box 7–11, Big chances 1–4, Corners 8–3, Saves 2–5, Fouls 15–9, Offsides 2–4, Yellow cards 2–0.
Did both teams score in Moldova vs Slovakia?
No. It finished 0–4, so Moldova failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Moldova vs Slovakia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Slovakia to win 77%, it finished Slovakia won (77% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished No.