FT · SCOTLAND: Premiership · Wednesday, 02 September 2026
Motherwell 3–0 Dundee UnitedMatch recap & how our call landed · Wednesday, 02 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Motherwell to win at 60%. Bawler had Motherwell at 60%, the draw at 22% and Dundee United at 18%. The match finished 3–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Motherwell win
60%
Result
Draw
22%
Dundee United win
18%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.0
Total 3.0
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (−0.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.1 – 0.2
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.0 of our 3.0.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Motherwell or draw
Pre-match: 82%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 36%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.