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Motherwell
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Motherwell

FormWLLLL
70%
Our hit rate on MOT
10
Forecasts settled

Fixture run · next 2

Colour = model difficulty for Motherwell
KIL (A)
17 Oct
HEA (H)
25 Oct

This season · per game

Bar = vs Scottish Premiership average · 13 matches since 1 Jul 2026
11.8lge avg 13.0
Shots per game
4.0lge avg 4.5
Shots on target per game
1.1lge avg 1.3
Goals scored per game
1.7lge avg 1.4
Goals conceded per game
1.1lge avg 1.4
xG for per game
2.0lge avg 1.5
xG against per game
4.5lge avg 5.6
Corners per game
Next fixture · Sat 17 Oct 15:00
KilmarnockKilmarnockvsMotherwellMotherwell
Medium confidence · Both teams to score61%
Motherwell win46%
Draw25%
Kilmarnock win29%
Most likely score1-1 · 11%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to scoreYes · 61%
Locked ~17:00 UK, before kickoffFull match preview →
Key players · attacking outputPer 90 · this season
MotherwellTawanda MaswanhiseFWD · 0.61 xG per 900.61
MotherwellSeb Palmer HouldenFWD · 0.41 xG per 900.41
MotherwellAlex LowryMID · 0.30 xG per 900.30
Our record on Motherwell · settled in publicFull track record →
11 OctMotherwell v CelticOver 1.5 goals81%WON
19 SeptDundee v MotherwellOver 1.5 goals77%WON
5 SeptRangers v MotherwellOver 1.5 goals81%LOST
2 SeptMotherwell v Dundee UnitedMotherwell or draw82%WON
MotherwellMotherwell· continues from the hero above51 competitive matches · friendlies excluded · updated daily

Form · last 6

Newest first · click a tile for the settled forecast
LOSS0–2vs Celtic11 OctLOSS1–2@ Dundee19 Sept
LOSS0–4vs Aberdeen15 Sept
LOSS0–1@ Rangers5 SeptWIN3–0vs Dundee United2 SeptDRAW3–3@ St Mirren30 Aug
At home · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals1.50.9
Shots13.810.3
On target5.13.4
Corners3.84.1
Away · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals1.41.4
Shots12.014.7
On target4.25.6
Corners4.25.4
At home · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.70.4
Shots6.34.4
On target2.51.5
Corners2.11.5
23 of the 25 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.70.4
Shots6.35.8
On target2.11.9
Corners2.42.2
23 of the 26 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
At home · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.80.4
Shots7.85.1
On target2.81.7
Corners1.82.3
23 of the 25 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.70.9
Shots6.38.3
On target2.23.1
Corners1.83.0
23 of the 26 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.

Squad · 33 players

Coach Alfred Johansson · ★ = model's key threats · from FotMob, 8 Oct 2026
Goalkeepers
1Alex Paulsen24 · NZL
21Matty Connelly23 · SCO
31Jack McConnell18 · SCO
Defenders
3Jake Girdwood-Reich22 · AUS
4Jamie Knight-Lebel21 · CAN
5Martin Moormann25 · AUT
6Jordan McGhee30 · SCO
+7 more
7Tom Sparrow23 · WAL
16Paul McGinn35 · SCO
23Ewan Wilson21 · SCO
30Jack Dalziel17 · SCO
43Samuel Ngandu16 · ENG
45Emmanuel Longelo25 · ENG
Midfielders
Aaron Buchanan17 · SCO
8Lukas Fadinger26 · AUT
11Alex Lowry★23 · SCO
12Oscar Priestman23 · AUS
20Dylan Williams23 · ENG
+4 more
27Mikey Booth19 · SCO
36Lucas Weir17 · SCO
63Dylan Levitt25 · WAL
71Joe Hodge24 · IRL
Forwards
13Jardell Kanga20 · SWE
15Eythor Martin Bjørgolfsson26 · NOR
18Tawanda Maswanhise★23 · ZIM
19Ibrahim Said24 · NGA
+4 more
32Robbie Hunter16 · SCO
47Seb Palmer Houlden★22 · ENG
66Callum Hendry28 · SCO
77Willy Vogt24 · SUI

Transfer desk · this window

All 22 moves →
OUTApostolos StamatelopoulosST · to Macarthur FCUndisclosed15 Sept
OUTLuca RossRB · to Alloa AthleticLoan13 Sept
OUTOlly WhyteCM · to Ayr UnitedLoan4 Sept
INDylan LevittDM · from Leyton Orient€400k1 Sept
INJardell KangaRW · from Ilves€400k28 Aug

Common questions

Who do Motherwell play next?

Motherwell play Kilmarnock away on Sat 17 Oct 15:00 UK. The published call is both teams to score, at 61%. Read the full match preview

What is the model's Motherwell v Kilmarnock call?

Medium confidence: Both teams to score, at 61%. The forecast is published and locked at about 17:00 UK, usually around two days before kickoff, so it can be graded afterwards. See every market for this fixture

How accurate has Bawler been on Motherwell?

7 of 10 settled Motherwell forecasts were right (70%). Every one was published before kickoff and graded in public. See the full track record

What are Motherwell averaging this season?

11.8 shots and 1.1 goals a game, conceding 1.7, counted over 13 competitive matches (since 1 Jul 2026) with friendlies excluded — every one a counted match result, not a projection. Compare it with the rest of the league

Who have Motherwell signed and sold?

22 confirmed moves in the current window. The newest in: Dylan Levitt, Jardell Kanga. The newest out: Apostolos Stamatelopoulos, Luca Ross, Olly Whyte. Follow the transfer desk

The Motherwell fixtures after that

Win, draw and loss are Motherwell's own chances
DateFixtureWinDrawLossO/U 2.5BTTSStrongest call
Sun 25 Octvs Hearts35%26%39%Over 55%Yes 58%Both teams to score 58%

Head-to-head · the fixtures ahead

Every recorded meeting, oriented to Motherwell
OpponentMetWDLLast meetingPreview
Kilmarnock10442Motherwell 4-0 Kilmarnock · Jan 2026Match preview →

Premiership table

FotMob, 13 Oct 2026
#TeamPWDLGF-GAGDPts
1Celtic870116-4+1221
2Rangers861111-5+619
3Hearts851219-8+1116
4Dundee FC841311-8+313
5St. Johnstone832310-10011
6Dundee United832310-11-111
7St. Mirren83148-14-610
8Aberdeen82247-9-28
9Motherwell82249-13-48
10Hibernian82158-12-47
11Falkirk81347-11-46
12Kilmarnock81257-18-115