Motherwell vs Dundee United prediction — Scottish Premiership · Wed 2 Sept · 19:45 UK

Scottish Premiership · Wed 2 Sept · 19:45 UK
Motherwell 60Draw 22Dundee United 18
Our call before kickoff
60%
Motherwell to win
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
55%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
59%

How it finished

Motherwell beat Dundee United 3–0. Bawler's model had Motherwell in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Motherwell had 25 shots (8 on target) to Dundee United's 5 (1), with 71% of the ball against 29%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.2.

MotherwellFull-time statsDundee United
71%Possession29%
2.1Expected goals (xG)0.2
25Shots5
8Shots on target1
16Shots inside box2
2Big chances0
9Corners3
1Saves5
8Fouls6
1Offsides1
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callMotherwell to win 60%Motherwell won (60% called)
Total goals3.03
Both teams to score55%No
Graded pickMotherwell or draw 82%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

MotherwellDundee United
2.0
Goals+1.0
1.0
16.7
Shots+5.4
11.3
6.3
On target+2.1
4.2
4.6
Corners+0.4
4.2
MotherwellDundee United
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
7.4
Shots+2.2
5.2
2.8
On target+0.9
1.9
2.1
Corners+0.2
2.0
MotherwellDundee United
1.4
Goals+0.8
0.7
9.3
Shots+3.2
6.1
3.5
On target+1.2
2.3
2.4
Corners+0.2
2.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Motherwell to score87%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Dundee United to score64%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Motherwell
61%
to score before half-time
Dundee United
37%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

MotherwellDundee United
7.41st-half shots5.2
2.81st-half shots on target1.9
2.11st-half corners2.0

First-half chances

69%Chance of 6+ shots41%
45%Chance of 8+ shots20%
73%Chance of 2+ shots on target52%
31%Chance of 4+ shots on target14%
84%Chance of 1+ corners81%
35%Chance of 3+ corners32%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Motherwell7.49.3
Shots · Dundee United5.26.1
Shots on target · Motherwell2.83.5
Shots on target · Dundee United1.92.3
Corners · Motherwell2.12.4
Corners · Dundee United2.02.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Motherwell 3 · Draws 1 · Dundee United 1
Dundee United in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Feb 2026Motherwell 2–0 Dundee United
Dec 2025Dundee United 0–0 Motherwell
Oct 2025Motherwell 2–0 Dundee United
Feb 2025Dundee United 1–0 Motherwell
Dec 2024Motherwell 4–3 Dundee United
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Motherwell vs Dundee United?

Motherwell beat Dundee United 3–0. Bawler's model had Motherwell in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Motherwell had 25 shots (8 on target) to Dundee United's 5 (1), with 71% of the ball against 29%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.2.

What was the final score in Motherwell vs Dundee United?

Motherwell 3–0 Dundee United, played on 02 Sept 2026 in the SCOTLAND: Premiership. Bawler's model had gone into it with Motherwell 60%, the draw 22% and Dundee United 18%.

What were the stats in Motherwell vs Dundee United?

Full-time: Possession 71%–29%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–0.2, Shots 25–5, Shots on target 8–1, Shots inside box 16–2, Big chances 2–0, Corners 9–3, Saves 1–5, Fouls 8–6, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–0, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Motherwell vs Dundee United?

No. It finished 3–0, so Dundee United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Motherwell vs Dundee United right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Motherwell to win 60%, it finished Motherwell won (60% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Motherwell or draw 82%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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