SCOTLAND: PremiershipSunday 09 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Motherwell vFalkirk

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Motherwell 54%Draw 30%Falkirk 16%
Strongest call
Motherwell or draw
76%
How we get there
MotherwellstepFalkirk
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Motherwell or draw
76%
Falkirk or draw
24%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Motherwell average 3.7 corners per game at home this season (21 competitive matches). Falkirk average 5.0 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Motherwell fixtures & form →Falkirk fixtures & form →

Motherwell vs Falkirk — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Motherwell and Falkirk — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Motherwell 54% · draw 30% · Falkirk 16%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Motherwell predictions & form →Falkirk predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Motherwell 0–0 Falkirk
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.