FT · EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification · Thursday, 13 August 2026
Motherwell 2–0 HJK HelsinkiMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Thursday, 13 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Motherwell at 40%, draw at 28%, HJK Helsinki at 32%. The match ended 2-0 — confirming the model's lean toward Motherwell.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Motherwell win
40%
Actual ✓
Draw
28%
Helsinki win
32%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Motherwell or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 52%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost