Europe: Champions League - QualificationWednesday 19 Aug, 19:00 UTC

NEC Nijmegen vBodo/Glimt

Most likely scoreline
11
11% of the time · 2.92 goals expected
NEC Nijmegen 35%Draw 30%Bodo/Glimt 35%
How we get there
NEC NijmegenstepBodo/Glimt
1.45Base xG · rolling 26-match1.47
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.45Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.47

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Nijmegen average 6.8 corners per game at home this season (18 competitive matches). Bodo/Glimt average 3.3 corners per game away from home this season (8 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
5
8
6
3
1
1
8
11
8
4
2
2
6
8
6
3
1
3
3
4
3
1
1
4
1
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Nijmegen and Bodo/Glimt — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Nijmegen 35% · draw 30% · Bodo/Glimt 35%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.