How it finished
Bodo/Glimt beat NEC Nijmegen 3–1. Bawler's model favoured NEC Nijmegen at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Bodo/Glimt 26%. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 4. NEC Nijmegen had 22 shots (6 on target) to Bodo/Glimt's 8 (4), with 69% of the ball against 31%. On expected goals it was 2.1 to 1.6, so NEC Nijmegen created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt?
Bodo/Glimt beat NEC Nijmegen 3–1. Bawler's model favoured NEC Nijmegen at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Bodo/Glimt 26%. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 4. NEC Nijmegen had 22 shots (6 on target) to Bodo/Glimt's 8 (4), with 69% of the ball against 31%. On expected goals it was 2.1 to 1.6, so NEC Nijmegen created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt?
NEC Nijmegen 1–3 Bodo/Glimt, played on 19 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with NEC Nijmegen 52%, the draw 22% and Bodo/Glimt 26%.
What were the stats in NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt?
Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.6, Shots 22–8, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 12–5, Big chances 2–3, Corners 7–2, Saves 1–5, Fouls 9–12, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt?
Yes — both NEC Nijmegen and Bodo/Glimt scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 68% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said NEC Nijmegen or draw 74%, it finished Bodo/Glimt won (26% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 68%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 87%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said NEC Nijmegen to win 52%, it finished Missed.