EUROPE: Champions League - QualificationTuesday 11 Aug, 17:30 UTC

NEC Nijmegen vOlympiacos

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
NEC Nijmegen 55%Draw 27%Olympiacos 18%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
77%
How we get there
NEC NijmegenstepOlympiacos
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Over 3.5 goals
25%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Nijmegen average 6.8 corners per game at home this season (18 competitive matches). Olympiacos average 4.8 corners per game away from home this season (5 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

NEC Nijmegen fixtures & form →Olympiacos fixtures & form →

Nijmegen vs Olympiacos — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 4 August 2026, Nijmegen have won 0, Olympiacos have won 0, with 1 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
4 August 2026Olympiacos 0–0 NijmegenEurope: Champions League - Qualification

The model's verdict for this fixture: Nijmegen 55% · draw 27% · Olympiacos 18%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Nijmegen predictions & form →Olympiacos predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Olympiacos
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.