Netherlands vMorocco
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 81% because both sides carry genuine attacking threat—Netherlands' 1.56 xG led by Gakpo and Morocco's 1.31 anchored by En-Nesyri project a combined 2.87 expected goals in a fixture too even to stay quiet.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Morocco average 3.7 corners per game away from home this season (3 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Netherlands vs Morocco — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Netherlands and Morocco — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Netherlands 40% · draw 30% · Morocco 29%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.