New England Revolution vAtlanta United FC
Over 1.5 Goals at 75% is the play here—New England's 1.63 xG advantage and 0.44 xG gap reveal a home side generating significantly more chances than Atlanta's creator Thiago Almada can neutralize.
New England RevolutionstepAtlanta United FCModel probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
New England Revolution average 5.6 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). Atlanta Utd average 3.7 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
New England Revolution vs Atlanta Utd — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between New England Revolution and Atlanta Utd — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: New England Revolution 44% · draw 30% · Atlanta Utd 25%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
New England Revolution 4–1 Atlanta United FCModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.