USA: MLSSaturday 08 Aug, 20:30 UTC

New England Revolution vHouston Dynamo FC

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
New England Revolution 41%Draw 32%Houston Dynamo FC 28%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
68%
How we get there
New England RevolutionstepHouston Dynamo FC
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
68%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
Houston Dynamo FC or draw
30%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

New England Revolution average 5.6 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). Houston Dynamo average 4.1 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

Most likely to score or assist

To score
Harry Kane
New England Revolution · Bayern Munich
60%
To score
Bukayo Saka
New England Revolution · Arsenal
42%
To score
Jude Bellingham
New England Revolution · Real Madrid
36%

Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.

More predictions for these teams

New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between New England Revolution and Houston Dynamo — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: New England Revolution 41% · draw 32% · Houston Dynamo 28%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
New England Revolution 02 Houston Dynamo FC
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.