Slovan Bratislava beat NK Celje 2–1. Bawler's model favoured NK Celje at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Slovan Bratislava 18%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. NK Celje had 20 shots (7 on target) to Slovan Bratislava's 17 (8), with 62% of the ball against 38%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Slovan Bratislava beat NK Celje 2–1. Bawler's model favoured NK Celje at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Slovan Bratislava 18%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. NK Celje had 20 shots (7 on target) to Slovan Bratislava's 17 (8), with 62% of the ball against 38%.
NK Celje 1–2 Slovan Bratislava, played on 26 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with NK Celje 59%, the draw 23% and Slovan Bratislava 18%.
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Shots 20–17, Shots on target 7–8, Corners 5–8, Saves 6–5, Fouls 15–12, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 5–1, Red cards 1–0.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said NK Celje or draw 82%, it finished Slovan Bratislava won (18% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3.