NK Celje vs Slovan Bratislava prediction — Champions League - Qualification · Wed 26 Aug · 20:00 UK

Champions League - Qualification · Wed 26 Aug · 20:00 UK
NK Celje 59Draw 23Slovan Bratislava 18
Our call before kickoff
82%
NK Celje or draw
Missed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
55%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
57%

How it finished

Slovan Bratislava beat NK Celje 2–1. Bawler's model favoured NK Celje at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Slovan Bratislava 18%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. NK Celje had 20 shots (7 on target) to Slovan Bratislava's 17 (8), with 62% of the ball against 38%.

NK CeljeFull-time statsSlovan…
62%Possession38%
20Shots17
7Shots on target8
5Corners8
6Saves5
15Fouls12
4Offsides0
5Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callNK Celje or draw 82%Slovan Bratislava won (18% called)
Total goals3.03

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

NK CeljeSlovan Bratislava
2.0
Goals+0.9
1.0
17.0
Shots+3.4
13.6
6.9
On target+0.9
7.8
NK CeljeSlovan Bratislava
0.6
Goals+0.4
0.2
8.8
Shots+2.8
6.0
3.4
On target+0.1
3.3
NK CeljeSlovan Bratislava
1.3
Goals+0.5
0.8
8.2
Shots+0.6
7.6
3.5
On target+1.0
4.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
NK Celje to score86%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Under 3.5 goals65%
Slovan Bratislava to score64%

First half — what we expected

NK Celje
63%
to score before half-time
Slovan Bratislava
23%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

NK CeljeSlovan Bratislava
8.81st-half shots6.0
3.41st-half shots on target3.3
3.41st-half corners0.4

First-half chances

60%Chance of 8+ shots28%
39%Chance of 10+ shots13%
82%Chance of 2+ shots on target81%
44%Chance of 4+ shots on target42%
80%Chance of 2+ corners<10%
42%Chance of 4+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · NK Celje8.88.2
Shots · Slovan Bratislava6.07.6
Shots on target · NK Celje3.43.5
Shots on target · Slovan Bratislava3.34.4
Corners · NK Celje3.43.8
Corners · Slovan Bratislava0.40.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.9 / match
Head-to-head, last 2NK Celje 0 · Draws 1 · Slovan Bratislava 1
Slovan Bratislava in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Jul 2024Slovan Bratislava 5–0 NK Celje
Jul 2024NK Celje 1–1 Slovan Bratislava
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won NK Celje vs Slovan Bratislava?

Slovan Bratislava beat NK Celje 2–1. Bawler's model favoured NK Celje at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Slovan Bratislava 18%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. NK Celje had 20 shots (7 on target) to Slovan Bratislava's 17 (8), with 62% of the ball against 38%.

What was the final score in NK Celje vs Slovan Bratislava?

NK Celje 1–2 Slovan Bratislava, played on 26 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with NK Celje 59%, the draw 23% and Slovan Bratislava 18%.

What were the stats in NK Celje vs Slovan Bratislava?

Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Shots 20–17, Shots on target 7–8, Corners 5–8, Saves 6–5, Fouls 15–12, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 5–1, Red cards 1–0.

Was Bawler's prediction for NK Celje vs Slovan Bratislava right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said NK Celje or draw 82%, it finished Slovan Bratislava won (18% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →NK Celje form →Slovan Bratislava form →