How it finished
Switzerland beat North Macedonia 3–0. Bawler's model had Switzerland in front at 84% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. North Macedonia had 2 shots (0 on target) to Switzerland's 23 (11), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 0.1 to 2.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won North Macedonia vs Switzerland?
Switzerland beat North Macedonia 3–0. Bawler's model had Switzerland in front at 84% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. North Macedonia had 2 shots (0 on target) to Switzerland's 23 (11), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 0.1 to 2.1.
What was the final score in North Macedonia vs Switzerland?
North Macedonia 0–3 Switzerland, played on 26 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with North Macedonia 4%, the draw 12% and Switzerland 84%.
What were the stats in North Macedonia vs Switzerland?
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 0.1–2.1, Shots 2–23, Shots on target 0–11, Shots inside box 1–15, Big chances 0–2, Corners 0–5, Saves 8–0, Fouls 10–7, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 4–0.
Did both teams score in North Macedonia vs Switzerland?
No. It finished 0–3, so North Macedonia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 36% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for North Macedonia vs Switzerland right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Switzerland to win 84%, it finished Switzerland won (84% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 36%, it finished No.