How it finished
Northern Ireland and Georgia drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Northern Ireland at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.4 goals; nobody scored. Northern Ireland had 15 shots (5 on target) to Georgia's 7 (2), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 65%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Northern Ireland vs Georgia?
Northern Ireland and Georgia drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Northern Ireland at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.4 goals; nobody scored. Northern Ireland had 15 shots (5 on target) to Georgia's 7 (2), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.3.
What was the final score in Northern Ireland vs Georgia?
Northern Ireland 0–0 Georgia, played on 05 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Northern Ireland 60%, the draw 25% and Georgia 14%.
What were the stats in Northern Ireland vs Georgia?
Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.3, Shots 15–7, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 13–5, Big chances 2–0, Corners 8–4, Saves 2–5, Fouls 9–14, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 0–4.
Did both teams score in Northern Ireland vs Georgia?
No. It finished 0–0, so Northern Ireland failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 41% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Northern Ireland vs Georgia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Northern Ireland to win 60%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 41%, it finished No.