Norway vSenegal
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 75% probability because Norway's Haaland and Senegal's Mané anchor a combined 2.79 xG with nearly even win odds (32% to 36%), guaranteeing attacking intent from both sides.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Norway average 4.5 corners per game at home this season (2 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Norway vs Senegal — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Norway and Senegal — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Norway 32% · draw 31% · Senegal 36%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.