Bawler / World: World Cup / Norway
Team profile

Norway Prediction

Per-game numbers from 6 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
10.3
a game
15.5 faced
On target
5.0
a game
5.5 faced
Goals
2.2 – 1.8
scored – conceded
a game, 6 matches
Corners
4.3
a game
7.0 against

Norway prediction: Bawler's model rates Norway at 1.32 expected goals scored and 1.49 conceded per match across 9 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 89% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Norway fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Norway sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.32 expected goals a game and conceding 1.49. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.67 a game against 1.32 expected. Across 9 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Norway have been correct 89% of the time.

Norway in numbers

6 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.8
Home 1.7Away 2.7
4.3
Corners · per game
give up 7.0
Home 4.5Away 4.0
10.3
Shots · per game
faced 15.5
Home 11.5Away 9.0
5.0
On target · per game
faced 5.5
Home 5.5Away 4.5
Last 6 games
11 Jul
1-2
vs England
-
05 Jul
2-1
@ Brazil
5-5
30 Jun
2-1
@ Ivory Coast
3-14
26 Jun
1-4
vs France
4-5
23 Jun
3-2
vs Senegal
5-4
16 Jun
4-1
@ Iraq
-

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Norway compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.32
Below average
Goals against
1.49
Leakier than most
Record
4W 2D 3L
9 settled
Real goals
1.7 – 1.6
For / against, per match
Scored1.32
Conceded1.49

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 88% of the time on Norway fixtures (7/8).

How Bawler has done on Norway

89%
of high-confidence calls correct — 8 of 9, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)88%7/8

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 9)

More on Norway and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly