How it finished
Leeds United beat Nottingham Forest 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Nottingham Forest at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Leeds United 30%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Nottingham Forest had 12 shots (2 on target) to Leeds United's 11 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.5, so Nottingham Forest created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United?
Leeds United beat Nottingham Forest 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Nottingham Forest at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Leeds United 30%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Nottingham Forest had 12 shots (2 on target) to Leeds United's 11 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.5, so Nottingham Forest created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United?
Nottingham Forest 0–1 Leeds United, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nottingham Forest 43%, the draw 27% and Leeds United 30%.
What were the stats in Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.5, Shots 12–11, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 6–6, Big chances 0–0, Corners 3–2, Saves 2–3, Fouls 15–14, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United?
No. It finished 0–1, so Nottingham Forest failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Nottingham Forest or draw 70%, it finished Leeds United won (30% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.