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Leeds
Premier League · Team page

Leeds

FormDLWDL
63%
Our hit rate on LEE
16
Forecasts settled

Fixture run · next 2

Colour = model difficulty for Leeds
MUN (H)
18 Oct
SUN (A)
25 Oct

This season · per game

Bar = vs Premier League average · 10 matches since 1 Jul 2026
11.6lge avg 14.4
Shots per game
3.9lge avg 4.8
Shots on target per game
1.8lge avg 1.7
Goals scored per game
1.3lge avg 1.4
Goals conceded per game
1.4lge avg 1.6
xG for per game
1.2lge avg 1.4
xG against per game
4.0lge avg 4.9
Corners per game
Next fixture · Sun 18 Oct 14:00
LeedsLeedsvsManchester UnitedManchester United
Medium confidence · Both teams to score61%
Leeds win35%
Draw26%
Manchester United win39%
Most likely score1-1 · 11%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to scoreYes · 61%
Locked ~17:00 UK, before kickoffFull match preview →
Key players · attacking outputPer 90 · this season
LeedsDominic Calvert-LewinFWD · 0.67 xG per 900.67
LeedsJayden BogleMID · 0.29 xG per 900.29
LeedsAo TanakaMID · 0.25 xG per 900.25
Our record on Leeds · settled in publicFull track record →
10 OctArsenal v LeedsArsenal to win63%WON
20 SeptLeeds v Crystal PalaceOver 1.5 goals81%LOST
14 SeptLeeds v NewcastleOver 1.5 goals81%WON
9 SeptChelsea v LeedsOver 1.5 goals80%WON
LeedsLeeds· continues from the hero above50 competitive matches · friendlies excluded · updated daily

Form · last 6

Newest first · click a tile for the settled forecast
LOSS1–2@ Arsenal10 OctDRAW0–0vs Crystal Palace20 SeptWIN4–1vs Newcastle14 SeptLOSS3–6@ Chelsea9 SeptDRAW1–1@ Brighton5 SeptDRAW1–1vs Brentford30 Aug
At home · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals1.61.1
Shots14.211.4
On target4.23.7
Corners5.54.3
Away · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals1.31.8
Shots11.213.5
On target3.94.6
Corners3.55.1
At home · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.80.3
Shots7.24.9
On target1.91.5
Corners2.62.1
All 22 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.50.5
Shots4.76.1
On target1.72.1
Corners1.72.3
22 of the 28 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
At home · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.80.8
Shots7.06.5
On target2.32.2
Corners2.82.1
All 22 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.61.2
Shots6.18.1
On target1.92.8
Corners1.73.4
22 of the 28 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.

Squad · 24 players

Coach Daniel Farke · ★ = model's key threats · from FotMob, 8 Oct 2026
Goalkeepers
1James Trafford23 · ENG
16Michael Zetterer31 · GER
21Alex Cairns33 · ENG
Defenders
6Joe Rodon28 · WAL
15Jaka Bijol27 · SVN
24James Justin28 · ENG
26Melvin Bard25 · FRA
+1 more
30Nico Elvedi30 · SUI
Midfielders
2Jayden Bogle★26 · ENG
4Ethan Ampadu26 · WAL
8Sean Longstaff28 · ENG
11Brenden Aaronson25 · USA
+3 more
18Anton Stach27 · GER
22Ao Tanaka★28 · JPN
44Ilia Gruev26 · BUL
Forwards
Mateo Joseph22 · ESP
7Daniel James28 · WAL
10Harry Wilson29 · WAL
14Lukas Nmecha27 · GER
+2 more
19Noah Okafor26 · SUI

Transfer desk · this window

All 21 moves →
INJean-Mattéo BahoyaLW · from Eintracht FrankfurtLoan2 Sept
OUTSam ChambersLW · to Northampton TownLoan2 Sept
INMelvin BardLWB · from NiceLoan1 Sept
OUTWilfried GnontoLW · to FiorentinaLoan1 Sept
OUTLargie RamazaniLW · to BurnleyLoan1 Sept

Common questions

Who do Leeds play next?

Leeds play Manchester United at home on Sun 18 Oct 14:00 UK. The published call is both teams to score, at 61%. Read the full match preview

What is the model's Leeds v Manchester United call?

Medium confidence: Both teams to score, at 61%. The forecast is published and locked at about 17:00 UK, usually around two days before kickoff, so it can be graded afterwards. See every market for this fixture

How accurate has Bawler been on Leeds?

10 of 16 settled Leeds forecasts were right (63%). Every one was published before kickoff and graded in public. See the full track record

What are Leeds averaging this season?

11.6 shots and 1.8 goals a game, conceding 1.3, counted over 10 competitive matches (since 1 Jul 2026) with friendlies excluded — every one a counted match result, not a projection. Compare it with the rest of the league

Who have Leeds signed and sold?

21 confirmed moves in the current window. The newest in: Jean-Mattéo Bahoya, Melvin Bard. The newest out: Sam Chambers, Wilfried Gnonto, Largie Ramazani. 2 of this club's moves have a written report. Follow the transfer desk

Leeds moves we wrote up

2 written up · 19 more confirmed in the windowTransfer desk →
In
Tarik MuharemovićCB · from Sassuolo€40m17 Jul
Out

The Leeds fixtures after that

Win, draw and loss are Leeds's own chances
DateFixtureWinDrawLossO/U 2.5BTTSStrongest call
Sun 25 Oct@ Sunderland36%27%37%Over 52%Yes 56%Both teams to score 56%

Premier League table

FotMob, 13 Oct 2026
#TeamPWDLGF-GAGDPts
1Man City660016-5+1118
2Arsenal650110-5+515
3Brighton641118-5+1313
4Brentford624012-6+610
5Everton62408-5+310
6Chelsea631215-13+210
7Leeds62318-5+39
8Hull62318-6+29
9Liverpool62317-709
10Ipswich63039-12-39
11Newcastle622210-13-38
12Crystal Palace62139-12-37
13Man United61329-906
14Coventry62045-11-66
15Nottm Forest61235-8-35
16Aston Villa61236-11-55
17Sunderland61146-12-64
18Bournemouth60337-13-63
19Tottenham60333-9-63
20Fulham60246-10-42