How it finished
Olympiacos beat Jagiellonia Bialystok 2–1. Bawler's model had Olympiacos in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Olympiacos had 25 shots (6 on target) to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 4 (3), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Olympiacos vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Olympiacos beat Jagiellonia Bialystok 2–1. Bawler's model had Olympiacos in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Olympiacos had 25 shots (6 on target) to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 4 (3), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 0.5.
What was the final score in Olympiacos vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Olympiacos 2–1 Jagiellonia Bialystok, played on 16 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Olympiacos 54%, the draw 25% and Jagiellonia Bialystok 21%.
What were the stats in Olympiacos vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 2.5–0.5, Shots 25–4, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 18–4, Big chances 11–2, Corners 13–0, Saves 3–4, Fouls 10–13, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Olympiacos vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Yes — both Olympiacos and Jagiellonia Bialystok scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Olympiacos vs Jagiellonia Bialystok right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Olympiacos or draw 79%, it finished Olympiacos won (54% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes.