Paraguay vFrance
Over 2.5 Goals lands at 70% because France's 1.99 xG nearly doubles Paraguay's 0.76, with Mbappé and Thuram leading a 63% win-probability advantage that translates to relentless attacking pressure.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
France average 4.5 corners per game this season (4 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Paraguay vs France — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Paraguay and France — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Paraguay 12% · draw 25% · France 63%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.