Bawler / World: World Cup / France
Team profile

France Prediction

Per-game numbers from 8 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
14.3
a game
6.8 faced
On target
5.3
a game
1.8 faced
Goals
2.3 – 1.3
scored – conceded
a game, 8 matches
Corners
4.5
a game
2.8 against

France prediction: Bawler's model rates France at 1.79 expected goals scored and 1.10 conceded per match across 12 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 83% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No France fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

France are the most complete profile in this data: creating 1.79 expected goals a game while giving up just 1.10. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.25 a game against 1.79 expected. Across 12 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on France have been correct 83% of the time.

France in numbers

8 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
Home 2.2Away 2.5
4.5
Corners · per game
give up 2.8
Home 4.3Away 5.0
14.3
Shots · per game
faced 6.8
Home 13.0Away 18.0
5.3
On target · per game
faced 1.8
Home 4.0Away 9.0
Last 6 games
18 Jul
4-6
vs England
-
14 Jul
0-2
vs Spain
7-1
09 Jul
2-0
vs Morocco
5-5
04 Jul
1-0
@ Paraguay
-
30 Jun
3-0
vs Sweden
-
26 Jun
4-1
@ Norway
5-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How France compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.79
Above average
Goals against
1.10
Tighter than most
Record
9W 0D 3L
12 settled
Real goals
2.3 – 1.3
For / against, per match
Scored1.79
Conceded1.10

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.79 xG per match · +0.47 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.10 xG per match · -0.28 vs league average of 1.38.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 80% of the time on France fixtures (8/10).

How Bawler has done on France

83%
of high-confidence calls correct — 10 of 12, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)80%8/10
Result100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 10)

More on France and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly