Philadelphia Union vAtlanta United FC
Over 1.5 Goals lands at 77% because Philadelphia's 1.83 xG and Atlanta's 1.21 xG create a combined 3.04-goal expected output that heavily favors a multi-goal game.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Philadelphia Union average 7.1 corners per game at home this season (28 competitive matches). Atlanta Utd average 3.7 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta Utd — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Philadelphia Union and Atlanta Utd — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Philadelphia Union 49% · draw 28% · Atlanta Utd 23%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.