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Bawler / USA: MLS / Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union crest

Philadelphia Union

USA: MLS

Philadelphia Union operate as a blunt attacking unit whose xG output of 1.29 per match sits below their concession rate of 1.39, a profile reflecting a side that struggles to convert chances whilst remaining vulnerable at the back. Recent form has seen them draw four of their last seven matches, a run that underscores their inability to close out games despite competitive underlying metrics. With no fixtures currently scheduled in the analysis window, Bawler's models will recalibrate once the fixture list clarifies, though the Union's banker pick success rate of 43 per cent suggests caution around short-priced selections on this team until form improves.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.29-0.16 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.44+0.01 vs league
◇ = USA: MLS average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Philadelphia Union were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the USA: MLS average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Philadelphia Union are above average there.

> xG performance · last 8 matches
0123456vs Chicago Fire: actual 0, xG 1.26@ Charlotte: actual 1, xG 1.26vs D.C. United: actual 0, xG 1.45vs Nashville: actual 0, xG 0.92@ New England Revolution: actual 1, xG 1.16@ Orlando City: actual 3, xG 1.70vs Columbus Crew: actual 1, xG 1.31@ Inter Miami: actual 4, xG 1.29Chicag@CharloD.C. UNashvi@New En@OrlandColumb@Inter
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate -0.3 goals vs xG (-0.04/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Philadelphia Union actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.29 xG per match · -0.16 above the USA: MLS average of 1.45.
> Form · last 5
Overall: 0W / 4D / 4L · Avg goals 1.3 for, 1.9 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Philadelphia Union's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
8
8 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.29
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.44
per match
Banker Hit Rate
50%
4/8 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on Philadelphia Union matches
50%
hit rate over 8 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Philadelphia Union fixture, the model lands 4 out of 8 (50%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Bawler's record on Philadelphia Union by market
Result50%3/6
Goals (Over/Under)50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Philadelphia Union fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Philadelphia Union matches.

> Recent matches (last 8)

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