Portland Timbers vFC Dallas
Over 1.5 Goals lands at 77% probability because Portland's home setup and Dallas's attacking intent combine for 2.95 total expected goals—enough to crack the under despite Dallas's marginal 6-point win edge.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Portland Timbers average 5.1 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). Dallas average 3.8 corners per game away from home this season (26 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
Portland Timbers vs Dallas — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Portland Timbers and Dallas — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Portland Timbers 32% · draw 30% · Dallas 38%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.