Bawler / USA: MLS / Dallas
Team profile

Dallas Prediction

Per-game numbers from 49 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
10.8
a game
15.0 faced
On target
4.2
a game
5.1 faced
Goals
1.6 – 1.5
scored – conceded
a game, 49 matches
Next match
41%
Dallas win chance
at Austin · Mon 17 Aug 00:30

Dallas prediction: for Dallas's next match — Austin vs Dallas on Monday 17 Aug, 00:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Dallas win looks most likely (41%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Dallas sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.41 expected goals a game and conceding 1.40. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.20 a game against 1.41 expected. Next up is a trip to Austin FC, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 41%.

Dallas in numbers

49 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.6
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
Home 1.7Away 1.6
3.8
Corners · per game
give up 6.9
Home 3.7Away 3.8
10.8
Shots · per game
faced 15.0
Home 11.1Away 10.4
4.2
On target · per game
faced 5.1
Home 4.4Away 3.9
Last 6 games
13 Aug
1-3
@ Toluca
4-5
09 Aug
1-0
@ Guadalajara Chivas
1-9
06 Aug
2-0
vs Queretaro
6-7
02 Aug
0-0
@ LA Galaxy
6-6
26 Jul
0-1
@ San Diego
4-9
23 Jul
2-2
@ Portland Timbers
-

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Austin · Monday 17 Aug, 00:30 UTC

Win
41%
Dallas
Draw
30%
Loss
28%
Austin
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 76%
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Dallas compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.41
Below average
Goals against
1.40
Tighter than most
Record
6W 2D 2L
10 settled
Real goals
2.2 – 1.3
For / against, per match
Scored1.41
Conceded1.40

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

Squad availability · Dallas vs Austin
Fetching squad availability…

Injuries, suspensions and doubts for both squads, from FotMob. Updates as kickoff nears.

How Bawler has done on Dallas

60%
of high-confidence calls correct — 6 of 10
Goals (Over/Under)60%3/5
Result60%3/5

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Thu 20 Aug@ Real Salt Lake
Sun 23 Aug@ Vancouver Whitecaps

Recent matches (last 10)

Sun 02 Aug@ LA Galaxy
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 26 Jul@ San Diego FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 23 Jul@ Portland Timbers
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 24 May@ Colorado Rapids
High confidence: X2
Sun 17 May@ San Jose Earthquakes
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 14 Mayvs Vancouver Whitecaps
High confidence: X2
Sun 10 Mayvs Real Salt Lake
High confidence: X2
Sun 03 May@ Red Bull New York
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 05 Apr@ DC United
High confidence: 1X
Sun 22 Marvs Houston Dynamo
High confidence: 1X

Transfer activity

INSantiago MorenoAMfrom FluminenseLoan
INDanielGKfrom San Jose Earthquakes€610k
INBrooks ThompsonGKfrom LexingtonLoan
INClay HolstadDMfrom Rhode IslandLoan
OUTEnes SaliLWto FC AndorraFree transfer
OUTPaxton PomykalAMto MLS PoolFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Dallas and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly