Portland Timbers v
Real Salt Lake
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 82% probability because both sides generate nearly identical attacking threat at 1.57 and 1.59 xG respectively, virtually guaranteeing a multi-goal affair.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Portland Timbers average 5.1 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). Real Salt Lake average 4.0 corners per game away from home this season (24 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake — Head-to-Head
In 1 recorded meeting since 2 May 2026, Portland Timbers have won 0, Real Salt Lake have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Real Salt Lake 2–0 Portland Timbers | USA: MLS |
The model's verdict for this fixture: Portland Timbers 35% · draw 29% · Real Salt Lake 36%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.