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Bawler / USA: MLS / Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake crest

Real Salt Lake

USA: MLS

Real Salt Lake operate as a mildly attacking outfit with a respectable defensive base, posting 1.66 expected goals for against 1.27 against—indicating a team that creates chances efficiently whilst maintaining reasonable solidity at the back. Form has been mixed across their last six, winning three and losing two, though recent momentum shows two wins in their last three settled fixtures. With no upcoming matches in the current window, the model will await RSL's next fixture to identify value. Bawler's banker picks on this team have landed at an exceptional 83% hit rate, suggesting strong predictive reliability on their matches.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.64+0.19 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.310.12 vs league
◇ = USA: MLS average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Real Salt Lake were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the USA: MLS average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Real Salt Lake are above average there.

> xG performance · last 7 matches
01234@ San Diego: actual 0, xG 1.08@ LA Galaxy: actual 1, xG 1.42vs Portland Timbers: actual 2, xG 3.06@ Dallas: actual 1, xG 0.93vs Houston Dynamo: actual 3, xG 1.76vs Colorado Rapids: actual 2, xG 1.73@ Minnesota United: actual 1, xG 1.54@San Di@LA GalPortla@DallasHoustoColora@Minnes
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate -1.5 goals vs xG (-0.22/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Real Salt Lake actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.64 xG per match · +0.19 above the USA: MLS average of 1.45.
Bawler's edge: Goals (Over/Under)
Banker picks in this market land 100% of the time on Real Salt Lake fixtures (4/4).
> Form · last 5
Overall: 3W / 2D / 2L · Avg goals 1.4 for, 1.0 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Real Salt Lake's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
7
7 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.64
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.31
per match
Banker Hit Rate
86%
6/7 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on Real Salt Lake matches
86%
hit rate over 7 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Real Salt Lake fixture, the model lands 6 out of 7 (86%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Bawler's record on Real Salt Lake by market
Goals (Over/Under)100%4/4
Result67%2/3

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Real Salt Lake fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Real Salt Lake matches.

> Recent matches (last 7)

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