Bawler / USA: MLS / Real Salt Lake
Team profile

Real Salt Lake Prediction

Per-game numbers from 48 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
14.4
a game
13.3 faced
On target
4.9
a game
4.1 faced
Goals
1.3 – 1.3
scored – conceded
a game, 48 matches
Next match
48%
Real Salt Lake win chance
vs Dallas · Thu 20 Aug 01:30

Real Salt Lake prediction: for Real Salt Lake's next match — Real Salt Lake vs Dallas on Thursday 20 Aug, 01:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Real Salt Lake win looks most likely (48%).

Real Salt Lake sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.59 expected goals a game and conceding 1.37. Next up is FC Dallas, where the model has them narrowly ahead at 48%.

Real Salt Lake in numbers

48 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
Home 1.6Away 0.9
4.6
Corners · per game
give up 5.2
Home 5.1Away 4.0
14.4
Shots · per game
faced 13.3
Home 15.1Away 13.7
4.9
On target · per game
faced 4.1
Home 5.4Away 4.4
Last 6 games
16 Aug
1-1
vs Minnesota United
7-10
12 Aug
3-0
vs Juarez
3-4
09 Aug
4-0
vs Atlante
1-6
05 Aug
1-1
@ Tigres UANL
6-4
02 Aug
1-1
@ St. Louis CITY
4-9
26 Jul
1-2
@ Portland Timbers
-

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Dallas · Thursday 20 Aug, 01:30 UTC

Win
48%
This team
Draw
26%
Loss
26%
Dallas
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Real Salt Lake compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.59
Above average
Goals against
1.37
Tighter than most
Record
3W 4D 3L
10 settled
Real goals
1.3 – 1.1
For / against, per match
Scored1.59
Conceded1.37

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Real Salt Lake fixtures (7/7).

How Bawler has done on Real Salt Lake

90%
of high-confidence calls correct — 9 of 10, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)100%7/7
Result67%2/3

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Sun 23 Aug@ Orlando City SC

Recent matches (last 10)

Sun 16 Augvs Minnesota United FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 02 Aug@ St. Louis CITY SC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 26 Jul@ Portland Timbers
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 23 May@ Minnesota United FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 17 Mayvs Colorado Rapids
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 14 Mayvs Houston Dynamo FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 10 May@ FC Dallas
High confidence: X2
Sat 02 Mayvs Portland Timbers
High confidence: 1X
Mon 27 Apr@ LA Galaxy
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 22 Mar@ San Diego FC
High confidence: 1X

Transfer activity

OUTNelson PalacioCMto Toronto FC€960k
OUTJesús BareaLWto Athletic Club BoiseLoan
OUTJavain BrownLBto Free agentFree transfer
OUTMarcos ZambranoSTto New England RevolutionLoan
OUTJohnny RussellRWto Free agentFree transfer
OUTJude WellingsCMto Free agentFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Real Salt Lake and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly