Before kickoff our call was Portugal to win at 89%. Bawler had Portugal at 89%, the draw at 9% and Wales at 3%. The match finished 1–0.
The match produced 2.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.