Bawler / World: World Cup / Portugal
Team profile

Portugal Prediction

Per-game numbers from 5 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
13.8
a game
14.8 faced
On target
4.0
a game
5.0 faced
Goals
1.6 – 0.6
scored – conceded
a game, 5 matches
Corners
4.3
a game
4.8 against

Portugal prediction: Bawler's model rates Portugal at 1.65 expected goals scored and 1.15 conceded per match across 9 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 56% of the time. They have won 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No Portugal fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Portugal carry a strong attacking profile, creating 1.65 expected goals per game against a World Cup average of 1.33. Across 9 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Portugal have been correct 56% of the time.

Portugal in numbers

5 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.6
Goals · per game
let in 0.6
Home 2.0Away 0.0
4.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.8
Home 5.0Away 2.0
13.8
Shots · per game
faced 14.8
Home 14.0Away 13.0
4.0
On target · per game
faced 5.0
Home 4.7Away 2.0
Last 5 games
06 Jul
0-1
vs Spain
3-7
02 Jul
2-1
vs Croatia
9-5
27 Jun
0-0
@ Colombia
2-5
23 Jun
5-0
vs Uzbekistan
3-2
17 Jun
1-1
vs Congo DR
-

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Portugal compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.65
Above average
Goals against
1.15
Tighter than most
Record
5W 3D 1L
9 settled
Real goals
1.6 – 0.6
For / against, per match
Scored1.65
Conceded1.15

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.65 xG per match · +0.33 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.15 xG per match · -0.23 vs league average of 1.38.

How Bawler has done on Portugal

56%
of high-confidence calls correct — 5 of 9
Goals (Over/Under)56%5/9

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 9)

More on Portugal and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly