FT · ENGLAND: Championship · Tuesday, 01 September 2026
Preston North End 1–3 Bristol CityMatch recap & how our call landed · Tuesday, 01 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Preston North End or draw at 68%. Bawler had Preston North End at 41%, the draw at 27% and Bristol City at 32%. The match finished 1–3.
Pre-match probability vs result
Preston North End win
41%
Draw
27%
Bristol City win
32%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.3
Total 2.8
Actual
1 – 3
Total 4 (+1.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.8 – 1.9
From the match itself
The match produced 1.2 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 77%
Landed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 53%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 27%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.