How it finished
Bristol City beat Preston North End 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Preston North End at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Bristol City 32%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Preston North End had 18 shots (4 on target) to Bristol City's 12 (7), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Preston North End vs Bristol City?
Bristol City beat Preston North End 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Preston North End at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Bristol City 32%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Preston North End had 18 shots (4 on target) to Bristol City's 12 (7), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.9.
What was the final score in Preston North End vs Bristol City?
Preston North End 1–3 Bristol City, played on 01 Sept 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Preston North End 41%, the draw 27% and Bristol City 32%.
What were the stats in Preston North End vs Bristol City?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.9, Shots 18–12, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 9–9, Big chances 3–3, Corners 5–2, Saves 4–3, Fouls 11–14, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 2–0.
Did both teams score in Preston North End vs Bristol City?
Yes — both Preston North End and Bristol City scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Preston North End vs Bristol City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Preston North End or draw 68%, it finished Bristol City won (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.