FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Real Salt Lake 0–3 Vancouver WhitecapsMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Vancouver Whitecaps or draw at 78%. Bawler had Real Salt Lake at 22%, the draw at 23% and Vancouver Whitecaps at 54%. The match finished 0–3.
Pre-match probability vs result
Real Salt Lake win
22%
Draw
23%
Vancouver Whitecaps win
54%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.9
Total 3.1
Actual
0 – 3
Total 3 (−0.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 2.2
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 3.1.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 82%
Landed
Medium confidence
Vancouver Whitecaps to win
Pre-match: 54%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 38%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.
What we said pre-match
"Over 1.5 Goals is the high-confidence call at 83%, driven by Vancouver's 1.95 xG advantage and a 0.74 xG gap that favors a multi-goal affair despite Real Salt Lake's home field."